Labor opens record lead over Conservatives in London

Abour has opened up a 40-point lead over the Conservatives in London, a new poll revealed on Thursday, underscoring the party’s political dominance in the capital.

The YouGov poll results mark the biggest lead for Labor over the Conservatives in London since the pollster began tracking the city’s voting intentions in 2010.

Although other recent Ipsos polls suggest Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has gained ground on Labor leader Sir Keir Starmer in recent weeks, YouGov’s latest findings will add to Tory fears they face election defeat. general plans for next year.

According to the YouGov poll, Labor would win 58 percent of the vote in London if a general election were held tomorrow, a three-point increase on a previous poll in February 2022, compared with 18 percent for the Conservatives. a five point drop. .

The Liberal Democrats were unchanged at 9 per cent, the Greens were also unchanged at 7 per cent and Reform UK saw a three point rise to 6 per cent.

Lukas Paleckis, YouGov Senior Political Researcher, said: “This new London Westminster voting intention serves as further evidence that the government’s big push on key issues, such as immigration, is not yet paying off at the ballot box, both nationally and in London.

In fact, this poll gives the Conservatives their lowest share of the vote in London since YouGov began tracking in 2010.

“In addressing these figures, the Conservatives may want to focus on the fact that only 43 per cent of Londoners who voted for them in 2019 say they would vote the same way if there were a general election tomorrow, otherwise the London fringe Conservative seats may be eliminated. at risk.”

Sunak has stabilized the Tory party after it was rocked by Liz Truss’s brief tenure and has won plaudits for his Brexit deal on Northern Ireland trade, moves to restore relations with France, childcare reforms, children and their plan to address the small boat crisis.

But the latest Ipsos poll, reported by Standard earlier this week, showed the Conservatives still trailing Labor by 23 points across the country as parties prepare for local elections next month, a litmus test. crucial before the general elections.

London has long been a stronghold for Labour, who won 49 seats in 2019 despite then-leader Jeremy Corbyn posting the worst national result since 1935. By contrast, the Tories won just 21 constituencies in the capital. Labor also controls the City Council through Labor mayor Sadiq Khan.

Although Sir Keir needs to win back traditional Labor electoral seats in the north of England and the Midlands to seize number 10, some of the strictest fringe Conservatives are to be found in the capital.

These include the Kensington constituency of Felicity Buchan, the Chipping Barnet north London headquarters of former minister Theresa Villiers, and the Chingford and Woodford Green constituency of former Conservative leader Sir Iain Duncan Smith.

In Scotland, the arrest on Wednesday of Peter Murrell, husband of former Scottish National Party leader and Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon, is also seen as a further boost to Labor’s chances of winning power in Westminster.

Polling expert Professor John Curtice of the University of Strathclyde said Labor had already closed the SNP’s lead north of the border to six points, a margin that could translate to Sir Keir winning between 12 and 15 points. seats in Scotland. At the moment, Labor only has one Scottish MP for Westminster.

He added on BBC Newsnight that Labor would only need a three-point lead over the Conservatives in the rest of the country to win the general election.

YouGov interviewed 1,051 adults in London between March 27 and 31.

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Labor opens record lead over Conservatives in London

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